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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Aug 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril
SL

Union
4 - 0
San Lorenzo

Gattoni (21' og.), Marquez (44'), Angel Esquivel (45'), Insaurralde (86')
Corvalan (55')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Gattoni (38')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Union and San Lorenzo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 44.71%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Union had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Union win it was 1-0 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
UnionDrawSan Lorenzo
26.5%28.79%44.71%
Both teams to score 42.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.74%63.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.35%82.65%
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.38%40.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.79%77.21%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7%28.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.97%64.02%
Score Analysis
    Union 26.5%
    San Lorenzo 44.7%
    Draw 28.78%
UnionDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 10.35%
2-1 @ 5.89%
2-0 @ 4.67%
3-1 @ 1.77%
3-0 @ 1.4%
3-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 26.5%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 11.49%
2-2 @ 3.72%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 28.78%
0-1 @ 14.5%
0-2 @ 9.16%
1-2 @ 8.25%
0-3 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 3.47%
2-3 @ 1.56%
0-4 @ 1.22%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 44.7%

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