Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 45.81%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Union had a probability of 27.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.