SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
48.06% ( 0.14) | 24.81% ( 0.22) | 27.13% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 54.32% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.66% ( -1.2) | 48.34% ( 1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.52% ( -1.11) | 70.48% ( 1.1) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.84% ( -0.42) | 20.16% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.56% ( -0.68) | 52.44% ( 0.68) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.03% ( -0.9) | 31.97% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.57% ( -1.04) | 68.43% ( 1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.8% Total : 48.06% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.69% Total : 27.13% |
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