Always an intriguing match-up, these two sides have clearly defined modes of play and a strongly-held identity. Though pragmatic, Milan's is generally more effective, and they can prolong their winning run by outscoring opponents who can barely buy a win on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.7%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	AC Milan
28.98% ( 0.03)	22.17% ( 0.01)	48.85% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 65.02% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.12% (

-0.03)

34.88% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.14% (

-0.03)

56.86% (

0.03)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.24% (

23.76% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.09% (

57.91% (

-0)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.28% (

-0.02)

14.72% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.09% (

-0.04)

42.91% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 28.98%

AC Milan 48.85%

Draw 22.17%

Atalanta BC	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.18% 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.87% Total : 28.98%	1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.63% 0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.17%	1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.89% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.24% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.82% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.03% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.96% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 3.41% Total : 48.85%