Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bologna in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bologna.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Atalanta BC |
36.9% ( -0.04) | 28.41% ( 0.01) | 34.69% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.53% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.21% ( -0.04) | 59.79% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.92% ( -0.03) | 80.08% ( 0.03) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.92% ( -0.04) | 31.07% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.61% ( -0.05) | 67.39% ( 0.05) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.51% ( -0.01) | 32.49% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.98% ( -0.01) | 69.02% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 36.9% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.4% | 0-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.69% |
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