Saturday's result could swing either way, but Bologna ought to claim their third impressive triumph inside six days with a marginal victory over Atalanta. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bologna in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bologna.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Atalanta BC
36.9% ( -0.04)	28.41% ( 0.01)	34.69% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 46.53% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.21% (

-0.04)

59.79% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.92% (

-0.03)

80.08% (

0.03)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.92% (

-0.04)

31.07% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.61% (

-0.05)

67.39% (

0.05)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.51% (

-0.01)

32.49% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.98% (

-0.01)

69.02% (

Score Analysis

Bologna 36.9%

Atalanta BC 34.69%

Draw 28.4%

Bologna	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 36.9%	1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.4%	0-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.69%