Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.67%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.38%) and 1-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
56.67% (![]() | 20.63% (![]() | 22.69% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.06% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.66% (![]() | 33.34% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.89% (![]() | 55.11% (![]() |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.2% (![]() | 11.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.99% (![]() | 37% (![]() |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.62% (![]() | 27.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.16% (![]() | 62.83% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-1 @ 9.56% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.38% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.9% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.81% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.02% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.78% Total : 56.67% | 1-1 @ 8.94% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.63% | 1-2 @ 5.79% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 3.66% Total : 22.69% |
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