SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 18.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Sassuolo |
61.24% ( -1.18) | 20.15% ( 0.49) | 18.61% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 58.96% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.01% ( -1.21) | 36.98% ( 1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.83% ( -1.32) | 59.17% ( 1.32) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.31% ( -0.68) | 11.68% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.23% ( -1.47) | 36.76% ( 1.46) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.76% ( -0.01) | 33.24% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.15% ( -0.01) | 69.85% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.12)Other @ 4.33% Total : 61.24% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.15% | 1-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.07% Total : 18.61% |
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