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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 3, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
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Atalanta
2 - 3
AC Milan

Zapata (86' pen.), Pasalic (90+4')
de Roon (40')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Calabria (1'), Tonali (43'), Leao (78')
Diaz (42'), Tomori (52'), Messias (85'), Leao (88'), Pioli (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawAC Milan
47.87%25.11%27.02%
Both teams to score 53.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.35%49.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33%71.67%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.24%20.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.6%53.4%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25%32.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69%69.31%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 47.87%
    AC Milan 27.02%
    Draw 25.11%
Atalanta BCDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 9.38%
2-0 @ 8.4%
3-1 @ 4.91%
3-0 @ 4.4%
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.93%
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 47.87%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.8%
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.59%
1-2 @ 6.66%
0-2 @ 4.24%
1-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 27.02%

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