SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 17.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Cagliari |
59.87% ( -0.01) | 22.57% ( 0.22) | 17.55% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 48.8% ( -1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.56% ( -1.22) | 49.44% ( 1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.52% ( -1.11) | 71.48% ( 1.1) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.87% ( -0.42) | 16.12% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.45% ( -0.77) | 45.55% ( 0.77) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.18% ( -0.98) | 41.82% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.72% ( -0.87) | 78.28% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 12.3% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.23)2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.03% Total : 59.86% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.83% Total : 22.56% | 0-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.84% Total : 17.55% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
