Although they have finally found a way to win, Cagliari have conceded more goals from open play than any other Serie A side this season (18), and they are not the most obvious candidate to end their hosts' superb sequence of clean sheets. Victory would put Juventus top of the table - if only for a day - and that should inspire them to avoid any complacency.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 21.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
0.67) 
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