SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
44.69% ( 0.95) | 24.74% ( 0.07) | 30.57% ( -1.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.85% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.94% ( -0.75) | 46.06% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.63% ( -0.72) | 68.36% ( 0.72) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% ( 0.11) | 20.68% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.72% ( 0.17) | 53.28% ( -0.17) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.67% ( -1.04) | 28.33% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.94% ( -1.33) | 64.05% ( 1.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 44.69% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.72% Total : 30.57% |
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