The combination of excellent away form and historical subordination of their opponents sees Juve start as favourites to prevail, and as they may feel there is a point to prove after last week, motivation will not be in short supply either. Shipping five goals in Udine demonstrates how brittle Cagliari can be defensively, so the visitors can dominate midfield and leave the rest to Vlahovic and company up front. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 16.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Cagliari win it was 2-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Juventus
16.04%	19.43%	64.52%

Both teams to score 56.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.74%

38.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.46%

60.54%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.08%

36.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.3%

73.7%

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.81%

11.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.31%

35.69%

Score Analysis

Cagliari 16.05%

Juventus 64.52%

Draw 19.43%

Cagliari	Draw	Juventus
2-1 @ 4.49% 1-0 @ 4.11% 2-0 @ 2.05% 3-2 @ 1.64% 3-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.26% Total : 16.05%	1-1 @ 9.01% 2-2 @ 4.92% 0-0 @ 4.13% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.43%	0-2 @ 9.91% 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-1 @ 9.04% 0-3 @ 7.23% 1-3 @ 7.21% 0-4 @ 3.96% 1-4 @ 3.95% 2-3 @ 3.59% 2-4 @ 1.97% 0-5 @ 1.74% 1-5 @ 1.73% Other @ 4.31% Total : 64.52%