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CL
Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 9, 2024 at 5pm UK
Sardegna Arena
ML

Cagliari
3 - 3
AC Milan

Zortea (2'), Zappa (53', 90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Leao (15', 40'), Abraham (69')
Fofana (61'), Hernandez (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Cagliari
Monday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-3 AC Milan
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Cagliari 0-2 AC Milan

Milan have scored a league-high 65% of their goals in the first half this season, while only two teams have found the net less than Cagliari before the break. So, expect the Rossoneri to take a lead that they will not relinquish, as they are improving at the back and their hosts are lightweight up front. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
CagliariDrawAC Milan
31.79% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 25.14% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 43.06% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.07% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.66% (0.012999999999998 0.01)47.34% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.44% (0.012 0.01)69.56% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.84% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)28.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.16% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)63.84% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (0.018000000000001 0.02)21.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.75% (0.029000000000003 0.03)55.25% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 31.79%
    AC Milan 43.06%
    Draw 25.13%
CagliariDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 7.84% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.41%
3-0 @ 2.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 31.79%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 9.37%
1-2 @ 9.01% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-2 @ 7.1% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 4.55% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 3.59% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.36% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 43.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Cagliari
Monday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 0-2 Bologna
Tuesday, October 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 2-0 Cagliari
Friday, October 25 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 3-2 Torino
Sunday, October 20 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Cagliari
Sunday, October 6 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 2-3 Cagliari
Monday, September 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-3 AC Milan
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Monza 0-1 AC Milan
Saturday, November 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-2 Napoli
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Brugge
Tuesday, October 22 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Udinese
Saturday, October 19 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 AC Milan
Sunday, October 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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