Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
