While they are very much a hit-and-miss side, Benevento possess a squad featuring top-flight experience and a serious goal threat, so should be expected to score.
The enormity of the occasion may also unnerve Pisa just a little, with the pressure of performing in front of their success-starved fans perhaps proving too much to handle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pisa in this match.
1.73) 
-0.12) 
