Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 51.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 24.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Pisa win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.