Pisa will enter the match in the better form and will also have had much longer to prepare for this contest, but Benevento have a lot of quality in the final third, and we are backing the home side to secure a narrow advantage ahead of the second leg.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 51.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 24.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Pisa win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Benevento in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benevento.
