SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Sampdoria |
58.03% ( -0.39) | 22.21% ( 0.1) | 19.76% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 53.89% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.35% ( -0.01) | 44.65% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.99% ( -0.01) | 67.01% ( 0.01) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.9% ( -0.13) | 15.1% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.36% ( -0.24) | 43.64% ( 0.24) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.47% ( 0.3) | 36.53% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.69% ( 0.3) | 73.31% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.59% Total : 58.02% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0)2-2 @ 5% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.21% | 0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.73% Total : 19.76% |
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