SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Como had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Como | Draw | Roma |
33.75% ( -0.53) | 26.77% ( -0.04) | 39.47% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 51.37% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.33% ( 0.08) | 53.67% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.84% ( 0.07) | 75.16% ( -0.07) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.99% ( -0.3) | 30.01% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.86% ( -0.37) | 66.13% ( 0.36) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.4% ( 0.35) | 26.6% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.17% ( 0.47) | 61.83% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Como | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.75% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 7% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.18% Total : 39.47% |
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