Though they picked up an important win just before the break, there is little to suggest that Samp are in the sort of shape to take down a motivated Roma side. As the Giallorossi have now forged an efficient attacking unit while tightening up at the back, they should return to the capital with another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 54.43%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 23.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Roma
23.13%	22.44%	54.43%

Both teams to score 58.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.58%

41.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.18%

63.82%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.49%

31.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.1%

67.91%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.82%

15.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.21%

43.79%

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 23.13%

Roma 54.43%

Draw 22.44%

Sampdoria	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 6.01% 1-0 @ 5.52% 2-0 @ 3.19% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.69% Total : 23.13%	1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 5.67% 0-0 @ 4.78% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.44%	1-2 @ 9.82% 0-1 @ 9.02% 0-2 @ 8.5% 1-3 @ 6.17% 0-3 @ 5.34% 2-3 @ 3.56% 1-4 @ 2.91% 0-4 @ 2.52% 2-4 @ 1.68% 1-5 @ 1.1% 0-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.87% Total : 54.43%