SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-0 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Roma |
17.61% ( -0.19) | 21.97% ( -0.22) | 60.42% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 50.76% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.13% ( 0.61) | 46.87% ( -0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.88% ( 0.56) | 69.12% ( -0.56) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.77% ( 0.13) | 40.23% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.14% ( 0.12) | 76.86% ( -0.11) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.93% ( 0.34) | 15.07% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.42% ( 0.63) | 43.59% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.44% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 17.61% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.96% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 10.85% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 6.85% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 6.24% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 3.24% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 2.95% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.4% Total : 60.41% |
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