Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (6.69%).
-0.34) 
0.13) 
