Udinese have only actually won one of their last six league matches, but they will be expecting to collect all three points on Monday. Sampdoria appear destined to drop into Serie B for next term, and we can see the strugglers suffering their 23rd league loss of a difficult season in this game.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 64.45%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 14.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.
-2.68) 
1.21) 
