Having claimed a measly three league wins all season, Sampdoria's campaign looks set to go from bad to worse on Friday, as Sassuolo are expected to inflict yet another defeat on the division's bottom club.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
-0.09) 
0.12) 
