SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 53.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 19.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Angola in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Angola.
| Result | ||
| Angola | Draw | Eswatini |
53.04% ( -0.27) | 27.61% ( 0.1) | 19.35% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 38.6% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.4% ( -0.11) | 64.6% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.39% ( -0.08) | 83.61% ( 0.08) |
| Angola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.16% ( -0.17) | 24.83% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.57% ( -0.24) | 59.42% ( 0.25) |
| Eswatini Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.35% ( 0.14) | 48.65% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.3% ( 0.1) | 83.7% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Angola | Draw | Eswatini |
| 1-0 @ 16.82% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 53.03% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 27.6% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 19.35% |
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