SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 35.81%. A win for Angola had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Angola win was 0-1 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Comoros | Draw | Angola |
35.81% ( 0.02) | 28.37% ( -0) | 35.81% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.69% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.38% ( 0.02) | 59.61% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.06% ( 0.01) | 79.94% ( -0.01) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.33% ( 0.02) | 31.67% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.91% ( 0.02) | 68.08% ( -0.02) |
| Angola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.33% ( -0) | 31.67% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.91% ( -0) | 68.08% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Comoros | Draw | Angola |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 35.81% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.37% | 0-1 @ 11.53% 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 35.81% |
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