SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Angola | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Angola had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Angola win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Botswana in this match.
| Result | ||
| Botswana | Draw | Angola |
47.86% ( -0.02) | 25.72% ( -0) | 26.42% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.93% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.49% ( 0.05) | 52.5% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.83% ( 0.04) | 74.17% ( -0.04) |
| Botswana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.05% ( 0.01) | 21.94% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.77% ( 0.02) | 55.23% ( -0.01) |
| Angola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.25% ( 0.05) | 34.75% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.52% ( 0.05) | 71.48% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Botswana | Draw | Angola |
| 1-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.27% 2-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.43% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 47.85% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 26.42% |
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