Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Angola had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Angola win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Botswana in this match.