SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Angola | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Central African Republic had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Central African Republic win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Angola would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angola | Draw | Central African Republic |
| 44.22% | 26.12% | 29.66% |
| Both teams to score 51.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.68% | 52.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.99% | 74.01% |
| Angola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.45% | 23.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.4% | 57.61% |
| Central African Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.86% | 32.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.38% | 68.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Angola | Draw | Central African Republic |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 4.33% 3-0 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.83% Total : 44.21% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.59% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.66% |
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