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COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 14, 2021 at 11am UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
NN

Mozambique
1 - 0
Namibia

Alexandre (81')
Nelson Simbine (28'), Muze (71'), O. Mathe (73'), J. Malico (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kambindu (9'), Gebhardt (15'), Fredericks (45+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Namibia had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Namibia win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mozambique in this match.

Result
MozambiqueDrawNamibia
40.99%26.6%32.4%
Both teams to score 51.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72%53.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17%74.83%
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39%25.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51%60.48%
Namibia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29%30.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04%66.96%
Score Analysis
    Mozambique 40.99%
    Namibia 32.4%
    Draw 26.59%
MozambiqueDrawNamibia
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 8.62%
2-0 @ 7.3%
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-0 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 40.99%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 7.86%
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 9.28%
1-2 @ 7.47%
0-2 @ 5.48%
1-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 2%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.4%

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