Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Namibia had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Namibia win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mozambique in this match.