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Coupe de France | Eighth Round
Nov 29, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari

Bastia
2 - 0
Nancy

Boutrah (8' pen., 84')
Loic Onana Etoga (15')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Evans (2')
Bokangou (8')
Coverage of the Coupe de France Eighth Round clash between Bastia and Nancy.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bastia 0-0 Lorient
Saturday, November 23 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Epinal 2-4 Nancy
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Nancy win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.

Result
BastiaDrawNancy
45.25% (-0.283 -0.28) 26.84% (0.0010000000000012 0) 27.9% (0.279 0.28)
Both teams to score 48.67% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.04% (0.131 0.13)55.96% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.94% (0.106 0.11)77.05% (-0.108 -0.11)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (-0.080000000000013 -0.08)24.64% (0.078999999999997 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.83% (-0.113 -0.11)59.16% (0.112 0.11)
Nancy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.59% (0.29599999999999 0.3)35.4% (-0.296 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.83% (0.304 0.3)72.16% (-0.307 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 45.25%
    Nancy 27.9%
    Draw 26.84%
BastiaDrawNancy
1-0 @ 12.22% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 45.25%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 8.73% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.84%
0-1 @ 9.06% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 27.9%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Bastia 0-0 Lorient
Saturday, November 23 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Freyming 0-4 Bastia
Saturday, November 16 at 1pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Laval 2-2 Bastia
Friday, November 8 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Caen 2-0 Bastia
Saturday, November 2 at 1pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Bastia 2-2 Rodez AF
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.30pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Pau 1-1 Bastia
Tuesday, October 22 at 6.30pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Epinal 2-4 Nancy
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Nancy 2-3 Pau
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Dijon 2-3 Nancy
Saturday, May 7 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Nancy 1-3 Nimes
Saturday, April 30 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Rodez AF 1-1 Nancy
Tuesday, April 19 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Nancy 0-2 Niort
Saturday, April 16 at 6pm in Ligue 2


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