Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nancy win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Pau had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nancy win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
