Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Nancy win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nimes would win this match.
