Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Nancy had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Nancy win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
