Without their midweek victory, this prediction would likely have gone the way of the hosts, considering their incredible unbeaten run. However, with the boost of finally rediscovering winning ways, we are backing the Ligue 1 side to narrowly scrape through this encounter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 50.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Bergerac Perigord had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.02%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Bergerac Perigord win it was 1-0 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
