SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 17.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 62.58% | 20.37% | 17.05% |
| Both teams to score 54.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.28% | 40.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.89% | 63.11% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.56% | 12.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.62% | 38.39% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.79% | 37.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26% | 74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 2-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 6.9% 4-0 @ 3.64% 4-1 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-2 @ 1.78% 5-0 @ 1.52% 5-1 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.6% Total : 62.58% | 1-1 @ 9.54% 2-2 @ 4.91% 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.37% | 1-2 @ 4.72% 0-1 @ 4.58% 0-2 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.62% 1-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.32% Total : 17.05% |
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