Lyon have kept just one clean sheet at home in Ligue 1 this season, while Saint-Etienne have one away shutout in the league to their name, which is why we think that this encounter could be full of goals.
Les Gones have fared well in recent home meetings against Les Verts, and though derby games can spring surprises, we think Lyon's quality will prevail on Friday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 17.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
