Lens' abysmal form on the road may make this a trickier encounter than some of the visiting crop believe, with Dupraz desperate to see the new manager bounce take effect on home soil.
However, underestimating Lens since their return to the top flight in 2020 has often proved fatal, and we do not expect the lowly hosts' fortunes to improve against the European challengers blessed with most of their big-hitters available.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 22.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-0 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.
