Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Copenhagen had a probability of 24.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Copenhagen win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.06) 
