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Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 7pm UK
Ceres Park
CB

Aarhus
1 - 0
Brugge

Beijmo (3')
Bech (41'), Akoto (44'), Knudsen (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Skov Olsen (41'), Vermant (45+1'), Rits (90+3')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Aarhus and Club Brugge.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aarhus 1-3 Nordsjaelland
Monday, July 31 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Brugge 1-1 Mechelen
Sunday, July 30 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
AarhusDrawClub Brugge
33.12% (-1.101 -1.1) 25.42% (-0.186 -0.19) 41.46% (1.296 1.3)
Both teams to score 55.62% (0.342 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.86% (0.568 0.57)48.14% (-0.56 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.7% (0.518 0.52)70.3% (-0.51000000000001 -0.51)
Aarhus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (-0.402 -0.4)27.7% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.74% (-0.524 -0.52)63.26% (0.532 0.53)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.92% (0.902 0.9)23.08% (-0.894 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.08% (1.303 1.3)56.92% (-1.295 -1.3)
Score Analysis
    Aarhus 33.12%
    Club Brugge 41.46%
    Draw 25.42%
AarhusDrawClub Brugge
1-0 @ 8.21% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-0 @ 5.27% (-0.249 -0.25)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 33.12%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 9.37% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.82% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 6.87% (0.2 0.2)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.187 0.19)
0-3 @ 3.36% (0.183 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.089 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.108 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.097 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 41.46%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Aarhus 1-3 Nordsjaelland
Monday, July 31 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Brugge 3-0 Aarhus
Thursday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aarhus 1-0 Vejle
Sunday, July 23 at 1pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Aarhus 3-3 Brondby
Sunday, June 4 at 4pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Randers 1-3 Aarhus
Tuesday, May 30 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 4-3 Aarhus
Sunday, May 21 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Brugge 1-1 Mechelen
Sunday, July 30 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 3-0 Aarhus
Thursday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Feyenoord 2-0 Brugge
Wednesday, July 12 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Union SG 1-3 Brugge
Sunday, June 4 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 1-3 Genk
Sunday, May 28 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 2-0 Antwerp
Sunday, May 21 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League


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