SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 58.51%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 22.47% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.1%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 2-1 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Erzgebirge Aue | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
22.47% ( -0.75) | 19.02% ( -0.3) | 58.51% ( 1.04) |
| Both teams to score 70.09% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.45% ( 0.54) | 25.55% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.37% ( 0.7) | 45.63% ( -0.7) |
| Erzgebirge Aue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.95% ( -0.22) | 23.05% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.13% ( -0.32) | 56.87% ( 0.32) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.08% ( 0.41) | 8.92% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.52% ( 0.96) | 30.48% ( -0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Erzgebirge Aue | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 22.47% | 1-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 2.55% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.65% Total : 19.02% | 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 7.1% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 6% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 5.21% ( 0.04)0-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 4.29% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 3.15% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 2.92% ( 0.11)1-5 @ 2.07% ( 0.1)3-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)2-5 @ 1.52% ( 0.07)0-5 @ 1.41% ( 0.08)Other @ 4.67% Total : 58.51% |
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