While these types of mismatched cup ties do toss up a few shock results every so often, we do not expect to see one here, and fancy the visitors to secure a fairly comfortable victory and entry to the next round.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 81.98%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Greifswalder FC had a probability of 5.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.15%) and 0-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.85%), while for a Greifswalder FC win it was 1-0 (2.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
1.22) 
-2.67) 
