Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-0 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.05) 
