SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Lyon |
31.62% ( 1.45) | 24.45% ( 0.65) | 43.93% ( -2.1) |
| Both teams to score 58.39% ( -1.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.73% ( -2.33) | 44.27% ( 2.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.35% ( -2.3) | 66.65% ( 2.3) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( -0.22) | 26.76% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.97% ( -0.29) | 62.03% ( 0.29) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.72% ( -1.83) | 20.28% ( 1.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.37% ( -3) | 52.63% ( 3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.66)2-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.12% Total : 31.62% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.53)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.38)0-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.38)0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.27)1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.28)0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.2)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.88% Total : 43.93% |
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