Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
1.45) 
-2.1) 
