SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
32.69% ( -0.62) | 23.49% ( -0.01) | 43.81% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 62.31% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.67% ( -0.18) | 39.33% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.33% ( -0.19) | 61.66% ( 0.18) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.28% ( -0.44) | 23.71% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.15% ( -0.63) | 57.84% ( 0.63) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( 0.18) | 18.31% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.6% ( 0.32) | 49.4% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nuremberg | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.69% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.48% | 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.65% Total : 43.81% |
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