SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Rot-Weiss Essen had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.51%) and 0-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Rot-Weiss Essen win it was 2-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-4 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.
| Result | ||
| Rot-Weiss Essen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
18.5% ( 1.2) | 19.6% ( 0.46) | 61.9% ( -1.65) |
| Both teams to score 60.83% ( 0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.53% ( -0.08) | 34.47% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.6% ( -0.09) | 56.4% ( 0.09) |
| Rot-Weiss Essen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.16% ( 1.22) | 31.84% ( -1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.72% ( 1.37) | 68.28% ( -1.37) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.25% ( -0.44) | 10.75% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.27% ( -0.99) | 34.74% ( 0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rot-Weiss Essen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 5% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.16)Other @ 3.3% Total : 18.5% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.19)0-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.6% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.29)0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 7.24% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.33)2-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 4.04% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 3.53% ( -0.26)2-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.8% ( -0.1)0-5 @ 1.57% ( -0.15)2-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.02% Total : 61.9% |
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