Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%).
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
41.11% ( 3.17) | 23.51% ( -0.53) | 35.38% ( -2.65) |
Both teams to score 63.08% ( 1.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.33% ( 2.38) | 38.66% ( -2.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.03% ( 2.47) | 60.96% ( -2.47) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.8% ( 2.51) | 19.19% ( -2.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.12% ( 3.99) | 50.87% ( -3.99) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.06% ( -0.28) | 21.93% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.79% ( -0.42) | 55.21% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.31) 1-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.51) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.36) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.36) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.34) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.25) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.24) Other @ 3.37% Total : 41.11% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.49) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.41) 0-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.81) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.66) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.36) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.38% |
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