Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waldhof Mannheim win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Waldhof Mannheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.06) 
