Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Nuremberg had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Nuremberg win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
-0.85) 
0.04) 
