SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Nuremberg had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Nuremberg win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Nuremberg |
58.59% ( -0.85) | 21.52% ( 0.04) | 19.88% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 56.39% ( 1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.58% ( 1) | 41.41% ( -1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.18% ( 1.01) | 63.81% ( -1.01) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.15% ( 0.07) | 13.84% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.78% ( 0.13) | 41.21% ( -0.14) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.45% ( 1.41) | 34.54% ( -1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.74% ( 1.47) | 71.25% ( -1.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Nuremberg |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.41)2-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.38)3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.17% Total : 58.59% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.19)0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.52% | 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.03% Total : 19.88% |
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