Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 63.18%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 17.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 3-1 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.