SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 61.24%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 19.47% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.69%) and 3-1 (7.31%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (5.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | Jong AZ |
61.24% ( -0.1) | 19.29% ( 0) | 19.47% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 63.91% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.67% ( 0.16) | 31.33% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.22% ( 0.18) | 52.78% ( -0.18) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.01% ( 0.02) | 10% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.98% ( 0.05) | 33.02% ( -0.05) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.01% ( 0.19) | 28.99% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.11% ( 0.23) | 64.89% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.31% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.21% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.94% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.66% Total : 61.24% | 1-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.37% Total : 19.29% | 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 19.47% |
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