SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.22%) and 2-0 (5.17%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Cambuur |
39.31% ( 0.03) | 23.08% ( -0.02) | 37.61% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 65.05% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.77% ( 0.1) | 36.23% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.65% ( 0.11) | 58.35% ( -0.11) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% ( 0.06) | 18.95% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.52% ( 0.1) | 50.48% ( -0.09) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.26% ( 0.04) | 19.74% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.23% ( 0.07) | 51.76% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 3.53% Total : 39.31% | 1-1 @ 10.09% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.27% Total : 37.61% |
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